Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.