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National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 20, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 

vs.

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 5-1 Aldershot
Saturday, November 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Truro City
Saturday, November 29 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw has a probability of 14.49% and a win for Truro City has a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.68%) , while for a Truro City win it is 1-2 (2.8%).

Result
York CityDrawTruro City
76.24% (5.442 5.44)14.49% (-2.515 -2.52)9.27% (-2.929 -2.93)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.17% (3.692 3.69)31.83% (-3.696 -3.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.64% (4.206 4.21)53.36% (-4.21 -4.21)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (2.02 2.02)6.89% (-2.023 -2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (5.134 5.13)25.32% (-5.139 -5.14)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-2.692 -2.69)43.21% (2.688 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-2.345 -2.35)79.47% (2.342 2.34)
Score Analysis
    York City 76.23%
    Truro City 9.27%
    Draw 14.49%
York CityDrawTruro City
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 9.5% (0.991 0.99)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.596 -0.6)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.286 0.29)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.767 -0.77)
4-0 @ 6.35% (1.211 1.21)
4-1 @ 5.33% (0.685 0.69)
5-0 @ 3.4% (0.912 0.91)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.606 0.61)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.138 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.52% (0.513 0.51)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.366 0.37)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 76.23%
1-1 @ 6.68% (-1.204 -1.2)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.556 -0.56)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.49%
1-2 @ 2.8% (-0.758 -0.76)
0-1 @ 2.5% (-0.764 -0.76)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.425 -0.43)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.27%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2025 5.30pm