Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.49% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 9.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%) , while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.