National League
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ollie Pearce 5' goal
  • Ollie Pearce 36' goal
  • Ollie Pearce 45'+6' goal
  • Alex Newby 81' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Donnellan 7'
  • yellowcard Tom Harrison 45'+2'

York City vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
York City 5 - 1 Aldershot
Goals scored
98
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Truro City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Truro City 0 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.49% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%) , while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

York City 76.24% (+5.45)
Draw 14.49% (-2.52)
Truro City 9.27% (-2.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% (-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.17% (+3.70)
Under 2.5 31.83% (-3.70)
Over 3.5 46.64% (+4.21)
Under 3.5 53.36% (-4.22)
Over 4.5 27.72% (+3.60)
Under 4.5 72.28% (-3.60)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 93.11% (+2.02)
Under 0.5 6.89% (-2.03)
Over 1.5 74.68% (+5.14)
Under 1.5 25.32% (-5.14)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 56.78% (-2.70)
Under 0.5 43.21% (+2.69)
Over 1.5 20.53% (-2.35)
Under 1.5 79.47% (+2.35)

Score analysis

York City 76.23%
Draw 14.49%
Truro City 9.27%
York City
2-0 @ 10.65% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 9.5% (+1.00)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.60)
3-1 @ 7.97% (+0.29)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.77)
4-0 @ 6.35% (+1.22)
4-1 @ 5.33% (+0.69)
5-0 @ 3.4% (+0.92)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.13)
5-1 @ 2.85% (+0.61)
4-2 @ 2.24% (+0.14)
6-0 @ 1.52% (+0.52)
6-1 @ 1.27% (-89.23)
5-2 @ 1.2% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 76.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.68% (-1.21)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.56)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.64)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 14.49%
Truro City
1-2 @ 2.8% (-0.76)
0-1 @ 2.5% (-0.77)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.43)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.27%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 16, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT