Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League
Dec 20, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 

4-0

Pearce (5', 36', 45+6'), Newby (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 4-0 Truro City
Saturday, December 20 at 5.30pm in National League
Next Game: York City vs. Boston
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 4-0 Truro City
Saturday, December 20 at 5.30pm in National League
Next Game: Truro City vs. Yeovil
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.49% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%) , while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawTruro City
76.24% (5.442 5.44)14.49% (-2.515 -2.52)9.27% (-2.929 -2.93)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.17% (3.692 3.69)31.83% (-3.696 -3.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.64% (4.206 4.21)53.36% (-4.21 -4.21)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (2.02 2.02)6.89% (-2.023 -2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (5.134 5.13)25.32% (-5.139 -5.14)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-2.692 -2.69)43.21% (2.688 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-2.345 -2.35)79.47% (2.342 2.34)
Score Analysis
    York City 76.23%
    Truro City 9.27%
    Draw 14.49%
York CityDrawTruro City
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 9.5% (0.991 0.99)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.596 -0.6)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.286 0.29)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.767 -0.77)
4-0 @ 6.35% (1.211 1.21)
4-1 @ 5.33% (0.685 0.69)
5-0 @ 3.4% (0.912 0.91)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.126 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.606 0.61)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.138 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.52% (0.513 0.51)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.366 0.37)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 76.23%
1-1 @ 6.68% (-1.204 -1.2)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.556 -0.56)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.49%
1-2 @ 2.8% (-0.758 -0.76)
0-1 @ 2.5% (-0.764 -0.76)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.425 -0.43)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 9.27%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2025 5.30pm
rhs 2.0


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