Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.47% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%) , while for a Boston United win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.