National League Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Brunton Park

Carlisle United vs Altrincham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Aldershot 0 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Altrincham

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Altrincham 0 - 0 Boreham Wood
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Ollie Crankshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw has a probability of 21.05% and a win for Altrincham has a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.61%) , while for a Altrincham win it is 1-2 (5.17%).

Result

Carlisle United 59.21% (-0.11)
Draw 21.05% (-0.03)
Altrincham 19.74% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.77% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.56% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 60.39% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 39.61% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.85% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 61.15% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 24.31% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 75.69% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 45.18% (-0.11)
Draw 35.24% (+0.20)
Altrincham 19.58% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 63.15% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.53%
Altrincham 32.32% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.9% (+0.17)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 24.6% (-0.17)
Over 9 53.58% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.02)
Under 9 35.1% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 42.39% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 57.61% (-0.12)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 59.04% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 40.96% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 32.64% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 67.36% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 14.59% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 85.41% (+0.15)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5 57.25% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 42.75% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.66%
Under 1.5 74.34%
Over 2.5 8.53% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.47% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.6%
Under 3.5 97.4%

Score analysis

Carlisle United 59.21%
Draw 21.05%
Altrincham 19.72%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 9.97% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 9.13% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
Other @ 14.46% (-0.14)
Total : 59.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.61% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.05%
Altrincham
1-2 @ 5.17% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.88% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 19.72%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT