National League
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • 40' yellowcard
  • Kain Adom 40' yellowcard
  • goal Elliot Embleton 36'
  • goal Regan Linney 71'
  • goal Luke Armstrong 88'

Gateshead vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 2.00pm
Gateshead 1 - 3 Eastleigh
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Harry Chapman

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 4.00pm
Boreham Wood 2 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.16% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Gateshead 18.59% (+1.02)
Draw 20.16% (+0.39)
Carlisle United 61.24% (-1.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.89% (+0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.93% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 37.06% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 40.74% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 59.25% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 22.74% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 77.26% (+0.09)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 66.69% (+1.03)
Under 0.5 33.3% (-1.04)
Over 1.5 30.08% (+1.12)
Under 1.5 69.92% (-1.13)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 88.29% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 11.7% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 63.19% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 36.81% (+0.88)

Score analysis

Gateshead 18.59%
Draw 20.16%
Carlisle United 61.24%
Gateshead
2-1 @ 5.05% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 4.29% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 2.36% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.85% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 18.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 3.9% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.16%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.97% (-0.26)
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 6.41% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 3.88% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.13)
0-4 @ 3.44% (-0.22)
2-4 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.62% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 61.24%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2024 7.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Owen Oseni 48' goal
  • Owen Oseni 57' goal