Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Gateshead
National League | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Carlisle United

Gateshead
vs.
CarlisleCarlisle United

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Eastleigh
Sunday, December 21 at 2pm in National League

Carlisle United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-0 Carlisle
Sunday, December 21 at 4pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw has a probability of 19.78% and a win for Gateshead has a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.22%) and 0-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Gateshead win it is 2-1 (4.83%).

Result
GatesheadDrawCarlisle United
17.58% (-0.784 -0.78)19.78% (0.329 0.33)62.64% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 58.25% (-2.886 -2.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.03% (-3.004 -3)36.97% (3.004 3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (-3.329 -3.33)59.15% (3.33 3.33)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-2.664 -2.66)34.33% (2.664 2.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-2.953 -2.95)71.04% (2.953 2.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)11.3% (0.768 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.06% (-1.699 -1.7)35.94% (1.699 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 17.58%
    Carlisle United 62.64%
    Draw 19.78%
GatesheadDrawCarlisle United
2-1 @ 4.83% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-0 @ 4.15% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 17.58%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.411 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.315 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.544 0.54)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 9.22% (0.773 0.77)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.951 0.95)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 6.7% (0.364 0.36)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.83% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-4 @ 3.65% (0.087 0.09)
2-4 @ 2.09% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 62.64%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2024 7.15pm
Club Friendlies 3
Gateshead
2-0
Carlisle
Oseni (48', 57')