Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.16% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.