Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.