Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-2 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.