Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Boreham Wood
National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Carlisle United

vs.

Coverage of the National League clash between Boreham Wood and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 26.6% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.56%).

Result
Boreham WoodDrawCarlisle United
50.4% (-4.313 -4.31)23% (0.374 0.37)26.6% (3.938 3.94)
Both teams to score 59.99% (3.154 3.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.36% (2.161 2.16)40.64% (-2.159 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.98% (2.18 2.18)63.02% (-2.177 -2.18)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.727 -0.73)16.29% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15% (-1.335 -1.33)45.85% (1.336 1.34)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (4.355 4.36)28.33% (-4.353 -4.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (5.174 5.17)64.06% (-5.171 -5.17)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 50.4%
    Carlisle United 26.6%
    Draw 23%
Boreham WoodDrawCarlisle United
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-1.087 -1.09)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-1.203 -1.2)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.861 -0.86)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.243 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.453 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 50.4%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.54 0.54)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.472 -0.47)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.744 0.74)
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.49 0.49)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.595 0.6)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.489 0.49)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.358 0.36)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.6%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2025 3pm
Nov 19, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Carlisle
2-1
Boreham Wood
Miller (80'), Beck (90')
Noble (90')
Garrard (29' pen.)
Ball (85'), Jones (90')
Nov 9, 2013 2pm
Round One
Boreham Wood
0-0
Carlisle
Jones (42')
Potts (51'), Noble (85')