Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.32% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.