Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for York City has a probability of 36.76% and a draw has a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest York City win is 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).