National League Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
The ARMCO Arena

Solihull Moors vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Solihull Moors

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Aldershot 0 - 0 Solihull
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Joe Sbarra

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 0 Wealdstone
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 35.77% and a draw has a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-2 (7.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Solihull Moors 40.48%
Draw 23.75%
Carlisle United 35.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.94%
Under 1.5 18.06%
Over 2.5 60.81%
Under 2.5 39.19%
Over 3.5 39.17%
Under 3.5 60.83%
Over 4.5 23.98%
Under 4.5 76.02%

First Half Winner

Solihull Moors 31.54%
Draw 37.81%
Carlisle United 30.66%

Team To Score First

Solihull Moors 45.09%
No Goal 4.58%
Carlisle United 50.33%

Corners

Over 8 67.64%
Equal 8 9.69%
Under 8 22.66%
Over 9 56.99%
Equal 9 10.66%
Under 9 32.36%
Over 10.5 46.2%
Under 10.5 53.8%

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 1.5 45.77%
Under 1.5 54.23%
Over 2.5 21.79%
Under 2.5 78.21%
Over 3.5 8.67%
Under 3.5 91.33%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.85%
Under 0.5 28.15%
Over 1.5 41.3%
Under 1.5 58.7%
Over 2.5 17.95%
Under 2.5 82.05%
Over 3.5 6.62%
Under 3.5 93.38%

Score analysis

Solihull Moors 40.48%
Draw 23.75%
Carlisle United 35.77%
Solihull Moors
2-1 @ 8.57%
1-0 @ 6.75%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 2.97%
Other @ 8.49%
Total : 40.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.75%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 6.44%
Total : 35.77%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
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