National League

Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Carlisle Carlisle United
1-0
Morecambe

Armstrong (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Carlisle United and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League

Next Game: Carlisle vs. Wealdstone
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League

Next Game: Altrincham vs. Morecambe
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Morecambe
61.38% ( 0.01)	19.9% ( -0)	18.72% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

-0)

35.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.35% (

-0)

57.65% (

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.78% (

11.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.23% (

35.77% (

-0.01)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.01)

32.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-0.01)

68.8% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 61.38%

Morecambe 18.72%

Draw 19.9%

Carlisle United	Draw	Morecambe
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.91% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.73% Total : 61.38%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.9%	1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 18.72%