National League Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Jack Nolan 24' goal
  • Yann Songo'o 57' yellowcard
  • Chris Popov 65' goal
  • Gwion Edwards 74' yellowcard
  • George Thomas 74' yellowcard
  • Gwion Edwards 75' yellowcard
  • George Thomas 75' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 38'
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 46'
  • yellowcard Daniel Isichei 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Isichei 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Howley 82'
  • yellowcard Oliver Lynch 82'
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 82'
  • goal Oliver Lynch 84'

Morecambe vs Tamworth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 2 Truro City
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Tamworth 1 - 1 Hartlepool
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Oliver Lynch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 36.83% (+0.41)
Draw 26% (-0.04)
Tamworth 37.17% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.85% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.87% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 25.13% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 50.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.25% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.7% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.86% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 31% (+0.08)
Draw 41.21% (+0.22)
Tamworth 27.79% (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 53% (+0.23)
No Goal 7.27% (+0.02)
Tamworth 39.73% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 63.82% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.36% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.83% (+0.03)
Over 9 52.76% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.18% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.89% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 58.11% (+0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 36.54% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 63.46% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 14.02% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 85.98% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.08)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5 69.91% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 30.09% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 37.32% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 62.68% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 15.21% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 84.79% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 4.89% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 95.11% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Morecambe 36.81%
Draw 26%
Tamworth 37.17%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.21% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.05% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.27% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.07)
Total : 36.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26%
Tamworth
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.88% (-0.12)
Total : 37.17%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT