Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.