National League Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth vs Sutton United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
Wealdstone 0 - 0 Tamworth
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Ronan Maher

Sutton United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Sutton 0 - 0 Woking
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Jayden Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tamworth win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Sutton United has a probability of 29.13% and a draw has a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sutton United win is 1-2 (6.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

Tamworth 45.59% (-0.04)
Draw 25.28%
Sutton United 29.13% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.48% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.18% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.95% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.58% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.42% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Tamworth 36.91% (-0.03)
Draw 38.88% (-0.02)
Sutton United 24.21% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Tamworth 54.03% (-0.12)
No Goal 5.56% (+0.01)
Sutton United 40.41% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.87% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.05% (+0.02)
Under 8 26.08% (+0.24)
Over 9 51.14% (-0.23)
Equal 9 11.74% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.13% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 39.73% (-0.21)
Under 10.5 60.27% (+0.21)

Tamworth Goals

Over 1.5 47.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.89% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 22% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 78% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.25% (+0.02)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5 66.51% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.49% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.71% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.93% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.02%
Under 3.5 95.98%

Score analysis

Tamworth 45.58%
Draw 25.28%
Sutton United 29.13%
Tamworth
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.52% (-0.02)
Total : 45.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.28%
Sutton United
1-2 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 29.13%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 23
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Borough Sports Ground
  • Will Davies 9' goal
  • Will Davies 27' yellowcard
  • Ashley Nadesan 41' yellowcard
  • Finley Barbrook 70' yellowcard
  • Harry Ransom 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haydn Hollis 28'
  • goal Thomas Ryan McGlinchey 47'
  • yellowcard Jasbir Singh 59'
  • goal Thomas Ryan McGlinchey 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Milnes 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Dan Creaney 90'+6'
National League Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamb Ground
  • Jordan Cullinane-Liburd 22' yellowcard
  • Nathan Tshikuna 52' yellowcard
  • Kyle Finn 59' yellowcard
  • Nathan Tshikuna 84' goal
  • yellowcard Hayden Muller 58'
  • goal Josh Coley 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 90'+5'