Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.22% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.26%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.