Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.98% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.