Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.63% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.