National League Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Gateshead 4 - 4 Morecambe
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Chris Popov

York City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 3 York City
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a Morecambe win it is 2-1 (4.51%).

Result

Morecambe 15.91% (+0.17)
Draw 19.3% (+0.06)
York City 64.79% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.85% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 18.15% (+0.42)
Over 2.5 61.46% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 38.54% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 38.79% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 61.21% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 25.78% (-0.53)
Under 4.5 74.22% (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 17.11%
Draw 33.28%
York City 49.61%

Team To Score First

Morecambe 27.15% (-0.24)
No Goal 4.6% (+0.09)
York City 68.25% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 65.48% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.4% (+0.05)
Under 8 24.12% (-0.08)
Over 9 54.22% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.26% (+0.05)
Under 9 34.52% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 43.03% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 56.97% (+0.08)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 22.03% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 77.97% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 6.51% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.49% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.74% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.26% (+0.06)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 86.87% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 13.13% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 62.82% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 37.18% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 36.91% (-0.74)
Under 2.5 63.09% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 17.53% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 82.47% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Morecambe 15.91%
Draw 19.3%
York City 64.79%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 1.97% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Total : 15.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.05)
Total : 19.3%
York City
1-2 @ 9.97% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 9.78% (+0.23)
0-1 @ 9.38% (+0.25)
0-3 @ 7.38% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.68% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.07)
Other @ 17.37% (-0.38)
Total : 64.79%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
May 7, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Devitt 51' goal
  • Shaun Miller 54' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Summerfield 45'
League Two
Dec 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dave Winfield 38' goal
  • James Berrett 52' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 88' yellowcard
  • Scott Flinders 94' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Devitt 54'
  • yellowcard Lee Molyneux 73'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 74'
League Two
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stephane Zubar 34' goal
  • Russell Penn 51' goal
  • goal Paul Mullin 10'
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 84'
League Two
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Redshaw 94' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Montrose 39'
  • goal Michael Coulson 77'
League Two
Jan 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke O'Neill 5' yellowcard
  • Ryan Jarvis 30' goal
  • Lewis Montrose 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Doyle 58'
  • yellowcard Andy Parrish 87'
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 90'