National League
Feb 28, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Yann Songo'o 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 68' yellowcard
  • Ben Williams 78' yellowcard
  • Harlee Dean 86' yellowcard
  • Jake Cain 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 55'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 71'
  • yellowcard Malachi Fagan-Walcott 71'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 71'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 72'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 72'
  • yellowcard Malachi Fagan-Walcott 72'
  • goal Ollie Banks 90'+8'

Morecambe vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Gateshead 4 - 4 Morecambe
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jack Nolan

York City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 3 York City
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.63% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Morecambe win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 16.18% (+0.27)
Draw 19.63% (+0.33)
York City 64.19% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.35% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.41% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 18.59% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 60.68% (-0.79)
Under 2.5 39.32% (+0.79)
Over 3.5 38.36% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 61.64% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 25.31% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 74.69% (+0.47)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 17.23% (+0.13)
Draw 33.36% (+0.08)
York City 49.41% (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 27.42% (+0.28)
No Goal 4.73% (+0.14)
York City 67.85% (-0.41)

Corners

Over 8 65.13% (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.43% (+0.03)
Under 8 24.44% (+0.33)
Over 9 53.87% (-0.36)
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 34.87% (+0.35)
Over 10.5 42.71% (-0.33)
Under 10.5 57.29% (+0.33)

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 22.11% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 77.89% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 6.47% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.53% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.74%
Under 3.5 98.26%

York City Goals

Over 0.5 86.52% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 13.48% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 62.05% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 37.95% (+0.78)
Over 2.5 36.18% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 63.82% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 17.05% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 82.95% (+0.49)

Score analysis

Morecambe 16.19%
Draw 19.62%
York City 64.2%
Morecambe
2-1 @ 4.51%
1-0 @ 4.33% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 2.08% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 1.55% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.6% (+0.03)
Total : 16.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.02)
Total : 19.62%
York City
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.54% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.23%
Other @ 16.91% (-0.47)
Total : 64.2%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
May 7, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jamie Devitt 51' goal
  • Shaun Miller 54' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Summerfield 45'
League Two
Dec 19, 2015 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dave Winfield 38' goal
  • James Berrett 52' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 88' yellowcard
  • Scott Flinders 94' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Devitt 54'
  • yellowcard Lee Molyneux 73'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 74'
League Two
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Stephane Zubar 34' goal
  • Russell Penn 51' goal
  • goal Paul Mullin 10'
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 84'
League Two
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Redshaw 94' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Montrose 39'
  • goal Michael Coulson 77'
League Two
Jan 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke O'Neill 5' yellowcard
  • Ryan Jarvis 30' goal
  • Lewis Montrose 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Doyle 58'
  • yellowcard Andy Parrish 87'
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 90'