National League
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Miguel Azeez 13' goal
  • Jack Nolan 56' goal
  • Lewis Payne 58' goal
  • Ben Williams 70' yellowcard
  • Barney Stone 71' yellowcard
  • George Thomas 71' yellowcard
  • Chris Popov 78' goal
  • Mo Sangare 82' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 82' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 83' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 83' yellowcard
  • Mo Sangare 84' yellowcard
  • Ben Tollitt 84' yellowcard
  • Joe Nuttall 90' yellowcard
  • Joe Nuttall 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Barney Stone 71'
  • yellowcard Connor Underhill 72'
  • yellowcard Luey Giles 73'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 82'

Morecambe vs Eastleigh - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Southend 5 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Chris Popov

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Eastleigh 2 - 2 Boreham Wood
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

Morecambe 38.11% (+0.08)
Draw 25.6% (+0.02)
Eastleigh 36.23% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.13% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.5% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.5% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.65% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.35% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.23% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.77% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Morecambe 30.4% (+0.08)
Draw 40.23% (-0.02)
Eastleigh 29.37% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Morecambe 49.56% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.7% (+0.01)
Eastleigh 43.74%

Corners

Over 8 69.59% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.07%
Under 8 20.34% (+0.04)
Over 9 58.26% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.34% (-0.01)
Under 9 30.41% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 46.62%
Under 10.5 53.38%

Morecambe Goals

Over 1.5 38.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.97% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.21%
Under 3.5 94.79%

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5 69.99% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 30.01% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.97% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.03% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.77% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.23% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.35% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.65% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Morecambe 38.12%
Draw 25.6%
Eastleigh 36.23%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 5.03% (+0.02)
Total : 38.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 25.6%
Eastleigh
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 5.17% (-0.03)
Total : 36.23%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT