Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.