National League Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park
  • Elliot Embleton 22' goal
  • David Ajiboye 57' goal
  • Hugh Parker 81' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 81' yellowcard
  • David Ajiboye 84' goal
  • Jack Ellis 87' yellowcard
  • Terell Thomas 87' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 40'
  • yellowcard Connor Smith 58'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 71'
  • yellowcard Alfie Beestin 71'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 71'
  • goal Alfie Beestin 90'+4'

Carlisle United vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 0 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 0 - 0 Southend
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cal Roberts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Carlisle United 47.59% (-0.05)
Draw 24.13% (+0.08)
Scunthorpe United 28.23% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.18% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.55% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.45% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 43.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.77% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 66.23% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.67% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80.33% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Carlisle United 36.84% (-0.06)
Draw 38.35% (+0.08)
Scunthorpe United 24.81% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Carlisle United 52.29% (-0.18)
No Goal 5.65% (-0.03)
Scunthorpe United 42.06% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 61.26% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.09% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.65% (-0.18)
Over 9 49.64% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.04)
Under 9 38.74% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 38.48% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 61.52% (-0.08)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 1.5 48.24% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 51.76% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 22.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.43% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.57% (+0.01)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 34.54% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 32.64% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 67.36% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.35%
Under 2.5 87.65%
Over 3.5 3.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 47.59%
Draw 24.12%
Scunthorpe United 28.23%
Carlisle United
2-1 @ 9.81% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 8.23% (-0.02)
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.72% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 24.12%
Scunthorpe United
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 28.23%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jai Rowe 35' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 52' yellowcard
  • goal Rodney McDonald 40'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 59'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jordan Gibson 81' goal
  • Brennan Dickenson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Aaron Jarvis 3'
  • goal Manny Onariase 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Perry 66'
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 78'
  • yellowcard Jai Rowe 86'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 6, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 60' goal
  • Jon Mellish 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 45'+1'
League Two Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Glanford Park
  • Jordan Hallam 35' goal
  • Lewis Spence 74' yellowcard
  • Alfie Beestin 84' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
Brunton Park