Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.96% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.