Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.