National League Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Aldershot Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Brackley Town 0 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Aldershot 0 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ryan Hill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Aldershot Town has a probability of 29.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win is 0-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.72%).

Result

Hartlepool United 45.81% (+0.07)
Draw 24.7% (-0.02)
Aldershot Town 29.49% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.54% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 22.46% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.53% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 45.47% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.74% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 18.65% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 81.35% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 34.93% (+0.14)
Draw 39.4% (-0.06)
Aldershot Town 25.67% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 52.44% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.06% (+0.01)
Aldershot Town 41.5% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 61.37% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 8 27.28% (-0.05)
Over 9 49.44% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.01)
Under 9 38.63% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 38.01% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 61.99% (-0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 45.91% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.09% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.09% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 78.91% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.95% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.05% (+0.02)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.6% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 34.4% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.48% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 67.52% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.76% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.24% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.99% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 45.82%
Draw 24.69%
Aldershot Town 29.5%
Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.8% (-0.01)
Total : 45.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 24.69%
Aldershot Town
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.86% (-0.02)
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Cameron Hargreaves 15' yellowcard
  • David Ferguson 60' goal
  • Cameron Hargreaves 68' goal
  • Josh Barrett 90'+5' goal
  • goal Tyler Frost 20' (OG)
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 47'
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 80'
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 84'
National League Gameweek 16
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 5' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 54' goal
  • Nathan Sheron 57' yellowcard
  • David Ferguson 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Henry 17'
  • yellowcard Oliver Scott 49'
  • yellowcard Cameron Hargreaves 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jones 81'
National League Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 19' goal
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 68' yellowcard
  • Tom Crawford 72' yellowcard
  • Nicky Featherstone 81' yellowcard
  • Tom Parkes 86' goal
  • yellowcard Lorent Tolaj 75'
  • yellowcard Kwame Thomas 90'+3'
National League Gameweek 16
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Coby Rowe 3' yellowcard
  • Theo Widdrington 49' yellowcard
  • Kwame Thomas 80' goal
  • Josh Stokes 81' goal
  • Haji Mnoga 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ferguson 42'
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 58'
  • yellowcard Luke Hendrie 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 53
May 15, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chike Kandi 56' yellowcard
  • Lewis Kinsella 57' yellowcard
  • Craig Tanner 76' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bettamer 87' goal
  • Jamie Sendles-White 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Armstrong 59'
  • goal Rhys Oates 77'
  • goal Nicky Featherstone 90'
  • yellowcard Gavan Holohan 90'