Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.16% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.41%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.