National League Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Hartlepool 0 - 0 Altrincham
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Adam Campbell

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Gateshead 0 - 0 Rochdale
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kian Pennant

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gateshead has a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.14%) , while for a Gateshead win it is 1-2 (5.41%).

Result

Hartlepool United 58.69% (+2.40)
Draw 21.9% (-0.39)
Gateshead 19.4% (-2.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.39% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.53% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 20.47% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 57.97% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 42.03% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 35.25% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 64.75% (+0.82)
Over 4.5 21.91% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 78.09% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 45.69% (+0.65)
Draw 35.76% (-0.07)
Gateshead 18.55% (-0.58)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 61.31% (+0.92)
No Goal 5.12% (+0.30)
Gateshead 33.57% (-1.21)

Corners

Over 8 64.67% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.01% (+0.03)
Under 8 24.33% (-0.09)
Over 9 52.77%
Equal 9 11.89% (+0.05)
Under 9 35.33% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 41.07% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.93% (+0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 56.69% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 43.31% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 30.28% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 69.72% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 13.42% (+0.64)
Under 3.5 86.58% (-0.63)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5 56.42% (-2.49)
Under 0.5 43.58% (+2.49)
Over 1.5 24.47% (-2.57)
Under 1.5 75.53% (+2.57)
Over 2.5 7.72% (-1.69)
Under 2.5 92.28% (+1.69)
Over 3.5 2.34% (-0.69)
Under 3.5 97.66% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 58.7%
Draw 21.91%
Gateshead 19.4%
Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 10.49% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 10.29% (+0.54)
2-0 @ 8.93% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 6.25% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 5.96% (+0.42)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.06)
Other @ 13.29% (+0.79)
Total : 58.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 5.12% (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.16)
Total : 21.91%
Gateshead
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.50)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.24)
Other @ 2.21% (-0.52)
Total : 19.4%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Luke Charman 25' goal
  • Reyes Cleary 43' goal
  • Luke Charman 66' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 72' goal
  • Jack Hunter 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jovan Malcolm 48'
  • yellowcard Jamie Bramwell 81'
  • goal Jamie Bramwell 90'
  • yellowcard Frank Nouble 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Tyrelle Newton 19' goal
  • Ben Worman 33' goal
  • Tyrelle Newton 61' goal
  • Joe Grayson 83' yellowcard
  • Owen Oseni 87' goal
  • Callum Whelan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tyrelle Newton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Sheron 27'
  • goal Joe Grey 35'
  • yellowcard Joe Grey 37'
  • goal Gary Madine 85'
  • goal Gary Madine 90'+1'
National League Gameweek 38
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
7
1
HT : 1 1
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Luke Hannant 28' goal
  • Kieron Evans 47' goal
  • Kenton Richardson 52' yellowcard
  • Dajaune Brown 53' goal
  • Regan Booty 60' goal
  • Dajaune Brown 70' goal
  • Callum Whelan 73' goal
  • Courtney Duffus 90' goal
  • goal Joe Grey 8'
National League Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 9' goal
  • Josh Umerah 54' redcard
  • David Ferguson 58' yellowcard
  • Callum Cooke 61' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 89' goal
  • goal Robbie Tinkler 66'
  • yellowcard Edward Francis 74'
  • yellowcard Kenton Richardson 82'
National League Gameweek 33
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Park (Hartlepool, County Durham)
  • Liam Noble 7' goal
  • Patrick McLaughlin 66' goal
  • Mark Kitching 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Tinkler 58'
  • goal Myles Anderson 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cameron Salkeld 76'