National League Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2026 7.45pm
Southend 0 - 0 Gateshead
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Kian Pennant

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 0 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Tarryn Allarakhia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw has a probability of 17.48% and a win for Gateshead has a probability of 13.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 0-2 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.35%) , while for a Gateshead win it is 2-1 (3.98%).

Result

Gateshead 13.64% (+0.09)
Draw 17.48% (+0.06)
Rochdale 68.88% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.66% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.22% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.78% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 62.98% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 37.02% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 39.72% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 60.28% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 27.3% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 72.7% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Gateshead 15.66% (+0.14)
Draw 34.02% (-0.22)
Rochdale 50.31% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Gateshead 28.1% (+0.15)
No Goal 4.51% (+0.01)
Rochdale 67.39% (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 57.6% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 31.38% (-0.05)
Over 9 46.39% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 42.4% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.87% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 64.13% (-0.03)

Gateshead Goals

Over 1.5 18.44% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 81.56% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 6.2% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 93.8% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.53% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.47% (-0.04)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 88.49% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 11.51% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 65.99% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 34.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 40.49% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 59.51% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.14% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 78.86% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Gateshead 13.64%
Draw 17.48%
Rochdale 68.88%
Gateshead
2-1 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.45%
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Total : 13.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37% (+0.02)
Total : 17.48%
Rochdale
0-2 @ 10.44% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 9.55% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 6.89% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 20.77% (-0.13)
Total : 68.88%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 20, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Tarryn Allarakhia 82' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Roles 57'
National League Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Regan Booty 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 16'
  • redcard Sam Beckwith 53'
  • goal Robbie Tinkler 55' (OG)
National League Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gateshead International Stadium
  • Dajaune Brown 20' yellowcard
  • Dajaune Brown 27' goal
  • Kenton Richardson 64' yellowcard
  • Regan Booty 74' yellowcard
  • Edward Francis 78' yellowcard
  • Luke Hannant 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kairo Mitchell 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 80'
National League Gameweek 17
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jesurun Uchegbulam 16' goal
  • Ian Henderson 26' goal
  • Jimmy Keohane 64' yellowcard
  • Kwaku Oduroh 75' yellowcard
  • goal Edward Francis 54'
  • yellowcard Edward Francis 63'
  • goal Kenton Richardson 67'
  • yellowcard Marcus Dinanga 68'
  • yellowcard Kyran Lofthouse 73'
  • redcard Greg Olley 78'
FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jon Mellish 21' goal
  • Ian Henderson 23' goal
  • Harrison McGahey 31' yellowcard
  • Bradden Inman 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Mellish 49'