Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.