National League Gameweek 29
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
Yeovil 0 - 0 Aldershot
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ryan Hill

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 7.45pm
Carlisle 0 - 3 York City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Aldershot Town has a probability of 28.71% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win is 1-0 (6.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.29%).

Result

Aldershot Town 28.71% (+0.43)
Draw 23.6% (+0.71)
Carlisle United 47.75% (-1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.98% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.93% (-0.95)
Under 1.5 19.07% (+0.95)
Over 2.5 59.29% (-1.76)
Under 2.5 40.71% (+1.76)
Over 3.5 38.22% (-1.86)
Under 3.5 61.78% (+1.86)
Over 4.5 23.35% (-1.60)
Under 4.5 76.65% (+1.61)

First Half Winner

Aldershot Town 23.45% (+0.31)
Draw 36.75% (+0.18)
Carlisle United 39.81% (-0.47)

Team To Score First

Aldershot Town 39.11% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.82% (+0.34)
Carlisle United 56.07% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 66.22% (+0.04)
Equal 8 9.7% (+0.09)
Under 8 24.07% (-0.15)
Over 9 55.66% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.56% (+0.10)
Under 9 33.78% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 45.06% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 54.94% (+0.15)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 1.5 34.28% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 65.72% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 13.47% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 86.53% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 4.25%
Under 3.5 95.75%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.53% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 21.47% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 50.91% (-1.82)
Under 1.5 49.09% (+1.82)
Over 2.5 25.44% (-1.59)
Under 2.5 74.56% (+1.60)
Over 3.5 11.23% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 88.77% (+0.85)

Score analysis

Aldershot Town 28.71%
Draw 23.61%
Carlisle United 47.75%
Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 6.34% (+0.42)
2-1 @ 6.31% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.43% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.36)
3-0 @ 1.71% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 28.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.82% (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.61%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.98% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 6.9% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.32)
Other @ 11.22% (-0.85)
Total : 47.75%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT