National League Gameweek 33
Feb 14, 2026 5.30pm
The New Lawn

Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Rochdale 2 - 1 Forest Green
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Kyle McAllister

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Carlisle 3 - 2 Scunthorpe
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 23% and a draw has a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 1-2 (5.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.88%).

Result

Forest Green Rovers 55.24%
Draw 21.76%
Carlisle United 23%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.76% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.24% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 58.46%
Under 2.5 41.54%
Over 3.5 34.28%
Under 3.5 65.72%
Over 4.5 21.11% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.89% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Forest Green Rovers 37.89%
Draw 40.63%
Carlisle United 21.47%

Team To Score First

Forest Green Rovers 60.17%
No Goal 5.41%
Carlisle United 34.42%

Corners

Over 8 71.55%
Equal 8 9.33%
Under 8 19.12%
Over 9 60.91%
Equal 9 10.64%
Under 9 28.45%
Over 10.5 49.79%
Under 10.5 50.21%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 54.54% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 45.46% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 28.12% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 71.88% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 11.7% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.3% (+0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 59.6% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.4% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 27.5% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.5% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.79%
Under 2.5 90.21%
Over 3.5 2.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Forest Green Rovers 55.24%
Draw 21.76%
Carlisle United 22.99%
Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 10.86% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33%
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.6%
Total : 55.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88%
0-0 @ 5.41%
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 21.76%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 22.99%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 18, 2025 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Morgan Feeney 16' goal
  • Baily Cargill 35' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 52' goal
  • Jamille Matt 77' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 62'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Brennan Dickenson 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Tristan Abrahams 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jamille Matt 29'
  • goal Nicky Cadden 32'
  • yellowcard Regan Hendry 60'
League Two Gameweek 25
Feb 2, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Gime Toure 72' goal
  • Rhys Bennett 73' yellowcard
  • Joe Riley 76' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 60'
  • goal Odin Bailey 75'
  • yellowcard Odin Bailey 76'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 82'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Jayden Richardson 50' yellowcard
  • Jamille Matt 76' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Alessandra 19'
  • yellowcard Joe Riley 44'
  • yellowcard Paul Farman 50'
  • yellowcard Taylor Charters 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Carl Winchester 59' goal
  • Ebou Adams 84' yellowcard
  • goal Nathan Thomas 24'
  • goal Nathan Thomas 26'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 31'
  • goal Nathan Thomas 47'
  • goal Joshua Kayode 49'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 55'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 83'