National League Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale vs Forest Green Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 0 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ian Henderson

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
York City 0 - 0 Forest Green
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Nick Haughton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Forest Green Rovers has a probability of 27.31% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win is 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.41%).

Result

Rochdale 46.69% (-1.16)
Draw 26% (+0.02)
Forest Green Rovers 27.31% (+1.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.01% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.89% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 26.11% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 49.56% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 50.44% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 27.24% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 72.76% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 14.89% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 85.11% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 35.36% (-0.53)
Draw 39.08% (+0.04)
Forest Green Rovers 25.56% (+0.49)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 53.49% (-0.30)
No Goal 7.1% (+0.05)
Forest Green Rovers 39.41% (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 49.43% (-1.30)
Equal 8 12.19%
Under 8 38.38% (+1.31)
Over 9 37.79% (-1.19)
Equal 9 11.64% (-0.12)
Under 9 50.57% (+1.30)
Over 10.5 27.6% (-0.98)
Under 10.5 72.4% (+0.99)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 43.67% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 56.33% (+1.12)
Over 2.5 19.07% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 80.93% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 6.69% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 93.31% (+0.44)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 62.98% (+0.81)
Under 0.5 37.02% (-0.81)
Over 1.5 28.7% (+0.74)
Under 1.5 71.3% (-0.74)
Over 2.5 10.1% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 89.9% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.92% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 97.08% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Rochdale 46.7%
Draw 25.99%
Forest Green Rovers 27.3%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.09)
Other @ 6.49% (-0.40)
Total : 46.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.1% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.04)
Total : 25.99%
Forest Green Rovers
0-1 @ 7.72% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 6.75% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 2.69% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.65% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.72% (+0.23)
Total : 27.3%

Head to Head

National League
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The New Lawn
  • Kyle McAllister 31' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 57' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 70' goal
  • yellowcard Jid Okeke 29'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 66'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Baily Cargill 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Aitchison 73' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 86' goal
  • goal Jimmy Ball 47'
  • yellowcard Tahvon Campbell 64'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Corey O'Keeffe 22' yellowcard
  • Alex Newby 48' goal
  • goal Jamille Matt 33'
  • goal Mathew Stevens 49'