Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.