National League Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Eastleigh 2 - 1 Truro City
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hartlepool 3 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Eastleigh has a probability of 27.41% and a draw has a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Eastleigh win is 1-0 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.1%).

Result

Eastleigh 27.41% (+0.09)
Draw 25.11% (+0.04)
Carlisle United 47.48% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.85% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.12% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.88% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30.25% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.75% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.03% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 23.32%
Draw 39.55% (-0.10)
Carlisle United 37.12% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 40.16% (+0.49)
No Goal 6.53% (-0.01)
Carlisle United 53.31% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 62.06% (+0.17)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.46% (-0.13)
Over 9 49.92% (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.14% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.94% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 38.23% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 61.77% (-0.17)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 29.16% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.84% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.04% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.96% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.15% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.85% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.6% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Eastleigh 27.4%
Draw 25.1%
Carlisle United 47.48%
Eastleigh
1-0 @ 7.45% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 25.1%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.61% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.04)
Total : 47.48%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT