National League Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Silverlake Stadium
  • Kieron Evans 68' yellowcard
  • Temi Eweka 90'+4' goal
  • goal Georgie Kelly 54'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 69'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 72'
  • yellowcard Bevis Mugabi 72'
  • yellowcard Hugh Parker 73'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 87'

Eastleigh vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Eastleigh 2 - 1 Truro City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Hartlepool 3 - 1 Carlisle
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

Eastleigh 27.41% (+0.09)
Draw 25.11% (+0.04)
Carlisle United 47.48% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 23.85% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 52.12% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.88% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30.25% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.75% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 83.03% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Eastleigh 23.32%
Draw 39.55% (-0.10)
Carlisle United 37.12% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Eastleigh 40.16% (+0.49)
No Goal 6.53% (-0.01)
Carlisle United 53.31% (-0.48)

Corners

Over 8 62.06% (+0.17)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.46% (-0.13)
Over 9 49.92% (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.14% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.94% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 38.23% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 61.77% (-0.17)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 1.5 29.16% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.84% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.04% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.96% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.72%
Under 3.5 97.28%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 77.37% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.15% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.85% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 21.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.6% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Eastleigh 27.4%
Draw 25.1%
Carlisle United 47.48%
Eastleigh
1-0 @ 7.45% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Total : 27.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 25.1%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.61% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.38% (+0.04)
Total : 47.48%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT