Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.17% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%) , while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.