Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.