National League Gameweek 36
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot Town vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
Braintree 1 - 2 Aldershot
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Charlie Warren

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Halifax 2 - 2 Rochdale
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Aldershot Town has a probability of 24.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win is 1-0 (6.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.48%).

Result

Aldershot Town 24.97% (-0.13)
Draw 23.53% (-0.13)
Rochdale 51.5% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.52% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.42%
Under 1.5 20.58%
Over 2.5 57.07% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 35.8% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 64.2% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.07% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.93% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Aldershot Town 22.16% (-0.13)
Draw 37.11% (-0.08)
Rochdale 40.73% (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Aldershot Town 35.16% (-0.25)
No Goal 5.52% (-0.04)
Rochdale 59.32% (+0.29)

Corners

Over 8 62.42% (+1.32)
Equal 8 11.65% (+0.19)
Under 8 25.92% (-1.51)
Over 9 50.03% (+0.93)
Equal 9 12.4% (+0.41)
Under 9 37.58% (-1.32)
Over 10.5 38.07% (+0.43)
Under 10.5 61.93% (-0.43)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 1.5 29.74% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 70.26% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 11.14%
Under 2.5 88.86%
Over 3.5 3.35% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.65% (+0.06)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 80.29% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 19.71% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 52.34% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 47.66% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 26.58% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 73.42% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 11.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.01% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Aldershot Town 24.96%
Draw 23.53%
Rochdale 51.5%
Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.69% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 2.73% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Total : 24.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.05)
Total : 23.53%
Rochdale
1-2 @ 9.45% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.19% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.7% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.32% (+0.05)
Other @ 11.7% (+0.07)
Total : 51.5%

Head to Head

National League
Nov 15, 2025 3.03pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spotland Stadium
  • Sam Beckwith 15' goal
  • Devante Rodney 36' goal
  • Devante Rodney 55' goal
  • Ian Henderson 57' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Barrett 58'
National League Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Rollin Menayese 35' yellowcard
  • Christian Maghoma 58' yellowcard
  • Josh Barrett 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kairo Mitchell 13'
  • goal Devante Rodney 27'
  • yellowcard Jake Burger 47'
National League Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The EBB Stadium.
  • Lorent Tolaj 6' goal
  • Cian Harries 44' goal
  • Jack Barham 51' goal
  • goal Ian Henderson 11'
  • yellowcard Finlay Armstrong 84'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Keohane 86'
National League Gameweek 20
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Jimmy Keohane 42' goal
  • Adam Clayton 65' yellowcard
  • Kairo Mitchell 79' goal
  • goal Jack Barham 37'
FA Cup
Dec 16, 2014 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Done 31' goal
  • Peter Vincenti 75' goal
  • Matt Done 81' goal
  • Matt Done 88' goal
  • goal Dan Fitchett 73'
  • yellowcard Kieran Forbes 90'