National League
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 25' yellowcard
  • Jake Burger 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan East 32' goal
  • Casey Pettit 64' yellowcard
  • Edward Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • E. Francis 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Cal Roberts 17'
  • goal Callum Roberts 17'
  • yellowcard Carlton Ubaezuonu 70'
  • yellowcard Aidan Dausch 82'
  • yellowcard Joe Starbuck 90'

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Yeovil 1 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 3 - 6 Boston
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Danny Whitehall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.78%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%) , while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Rochdale 51.11% (+0.83)
Draw 25.1% (-0.95)
Scunthorpe United 23.73% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.88% (+0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.99% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 25.01% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 51.23% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 48.77% (-0.52)
Over 3.5 28.12% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 71.88% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 15.72% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.28% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 36.48% (-1.17)
Draw 40.43% (+1.26)
Scunthorpe United 23.08% (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 54.94% (+0.08)
No Goal 6.88% (-0.34)
Scunthorpe United 38.18% (+0.26)

Corners

Over 8 55.23% (+0.34)
Equal 8 11.79% (-0.03)
Under 8 32.98% (-0.33)
Over 9 43.44% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.77% (-0.34)
Over 10.5 32.65% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 67.35% (-0.28)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 47.96% (+0.72)
Under 1.5 52.04% (-0.72)
Over 2.5 21.74% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 78.26% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.2% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 91.8% (-0.14)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 39.51% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 25.88% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 74.12% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.46% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.54% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.07% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.93% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Rochdale 51.11%
Draw 25.1%
Scunthorpe United 23.74%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.78% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.43% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.27)
3-0 @ 4.86% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.08)
Other @ 8.13% (+0.30)
Total : 51.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.34)
2-2 @ 5.24%
Other @ 0.07% (-0.16)
Total : 25.1%
Scunthorpe United
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.10)
Other @ 2% (+0.06)
Total : 23.74%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Manny Onariase 13' goal
  • Jai Rowe 17' yellowcard
  • Hayden Hackney 28' yellowcard
  • Anthony Grant 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 38'
  • goal Liam Kelly 51'
  • goal Max Taylor 83'
  • yellowcard George Broadbent 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena (Rochdale, Greater Manchester)
  • Aaron Wilbraham 14' goal
  • Kgosi Ntlhe 51' goal
  • Aaron Wilbraham 60' goal
  • goal Jordan Hallam 16'
  • yellowcard Harrison McGahey 27'
  • yellowcard Tony McMahon 42'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Glanford Park (Scunthorpe)
  • Lee Novak 2' goal
  • Ryan Colclough 18' goal
  • Charlie Goode 54' goal
  • Matthew Lund 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 26'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 52'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 55'
  • goal Oliver Rathbone 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 68'
  • goal Matty Gillam 83'
League One
Mar 24, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ivan Toney 51' goal
  • Funso Ojo 68' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Camps 20'
  • yellowcard Oliver Rathbone 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Hart 50'
  • yellowcard Calvin Andrew 68'
League One
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Davies 55' goal
  • goal Duane Holmes 63'