Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.32% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%) , while for a Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.