Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.24% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.