Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.65% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.33%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%) , while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.