FA Trophy
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • Isaac Philpot 41' goal
  • goal Keenan Appiah-Forson 2'
  • goal Jack Bridge 15'

Horsham vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions

Southend United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-0 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 26.5% (-0.56)
Draw 25.96% (-0.08)
Southend United 47.54% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.36% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.82% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 28.18% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 46.64% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 53.36% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 25.98% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 74.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 14.33% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.67% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Horsham 23.35% (-0.53)
Draw 43.57% (-0.07)
Southend United 33.08% (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Horsham 36.15% (-0.74)
No Goal 8.23% (+0.07)
Southend United 55.62% (+0.67)

Corners

Over 8 60.42% (+0.20)
Equal 8 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.36% (-0.20)
Over 9 48.75% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.04)
Under 9 39.58% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 37.61% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 62.39% (-0.11)

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 26.47% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 73.53% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 8.69% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 91.31% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 2.28% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.72% (+0.10)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 75.7% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 24.3% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 42.96% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 57.04% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 19.1% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 80.9% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 7.03% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 92.97% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Horsham 26.5%
Draw 25.96%
Southend United 47.54%
Horsham
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.25% (-0.11)
Total : 26.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.23% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 25.96%
Southend United
0-1 @ 11.86% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 8.81% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.57% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 4.21% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
Other @ 7% (+0.20)
Total : 47.54%