National League South
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • James Hammond 21' goal
  • James Hammond 21' yellowcard
  • James Hammond 58' goal

Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Enfield Town 2 - 1 Horsham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
James Hammond

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 0 Worthing
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mauro Vilhete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 42.52% (+0.06)
Draw 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town 29.38% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.55% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 45.59%
Under 2.5 54.41%
Over 3.5 24.34%
Under 3.5 75.66%
Over 4.5 12.67%
Under 4.5 87.33%

First Half Winner

Horsham 33.24%
Draw 44.77%
Hemel Hempstead Town 22%

Team To Score First

Horsham 51.94%
No Goal 8.98%
Hemel Hempstead Town 39.08%

Corners

Over 8 58.46%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 29.98%
Over 9 46.62%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 41.54%
Over 10.5 35.5%
Under 10.5 64.5%

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 39.29% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.71% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.6% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.74% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.86% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.39% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Horsham 42.52%
Draw 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town 29.38%
Horsham
1-0 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 5.25%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Total : 29.38%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT