Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.