National League South
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
  • James Hammond 21' goal
  • James Hammond 21' yellowcard
  • James Hammond 58' goal

Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Enfield Town 2 - 1 Horsham
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
James Hammond

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 0 Worthing
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Horsham 42.52% (+0.06)
Draw 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town 29.38% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.55% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 45.59%
Under 2.5 54.41%
Over 3.5 24.34%
Under 3.5 75.66%
Over 4.5 12.67%
Under 4.5 87.33%

First Half Winner

Horsham 33.24%
Draw 44.77%
Hemel Hempstead Town 22%

Team To Score First

Horsham 51.94%
No Goal 8.98%
Hemel Hempstead Town 39.08%

Corners

Over 8 58.46%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 29.98%
Over 9 46.62%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 41.54%
Over 10.5 35.5%
Under 10.5 64.5%

Horsham Goals

Over 1.5 39.29% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 60.71% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.6% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.26% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.74% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.86% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.39% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Horsham 42.52%
Draw 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town 29.38%
Horsham
1-0 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 42.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 5.25%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 28.1%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Total : 29.38%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT