National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Weston 0 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 0 Horsham
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Kenny Coker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw has a probability of 24.16% and a win for Dover Athletic has a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Dover Athletic win it is 0-1 (7.29%).

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 55.62%
Draw 24.16% (+0.02)
Dover Athletic 20.21% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.42% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.58% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.87%
Under 2.5 53.08% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 24.62%
Under 3.5 75.38%
Over 4.5 13.91%
Under 4.5 86.09%

First Half Winner

Hemel Hempstead Town 39.48% (+0.01)
Draw 41.4% (+0.01)
Dover Athletic 19.12% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Hemel Hempstead Town 58.82% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.17% (-0.01)
Dover Athletic 33.01% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.87%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 31.26%
Over 9 44.85%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 43.13%
Over 10.5 33.73%
Under 10.5 66.27%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 1.5 48.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.71% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 22.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.41%
Under 3.5 91.59%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 54.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 20.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.82% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 5.2% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.18%
Under 3.5 98.82%

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 55.63%
Draw 24.17%
Dover Athletic 20.21%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 10.05%
3-0 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 8.4%
Total : 55.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.17%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.21%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 15
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Aidan Elliott-Wheeler 28' goal
  • goal Roman Charles-Cook 90'
National League South Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Nick Dembele 21' goal
  • Zidane Sutherland 80' goal
  • redcard Newton T. 22'
  • goal George Williams 74'
  • goal Alfie Matthews 90'+7'
National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jake Goodman 16' goal
  • Jordan Higgs 42' goal
  • Noah Carney 85' goal
  • Luke Baptiste 90'+2' goal