Dover Athletic
National League South
Dec 30, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Ebbsfleet United

1-2

Coker (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edser (18'), Samuel (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Horsham
Tuesday, January 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Dover Athletic vs. Torquay Utd
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Bath City vs. Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
39.24% (-0.221 -0.22)25.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.64% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.071999999999996 0.07)46.33% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (0.067 0.07)68.62% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)23.39% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.117 -0.12)57.37% (0.116 0.12)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (0.16500000000001 0.17)25.33% (-0.165 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.225 0.23)60.12% (-0.226 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 39.24%
    Ebbsfleet 35.64%
    Draw 25.12%
Dover AthleticDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.24%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.64%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
gameweek 28
Dover Athletic
1-2
Ebbsfleet
Wanadio (68')
Domi (33'), Bingham (86' pen.)
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Ebbsfleet
3-0
Dover Athletic
Poleon (18', 85'), Bingham (74')
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
gameweek 33
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Sutherland (40'), Ekpiteta (86')
Woods (14')
Passley (26'), Taylor (41'), Modeste (58'), Woods (65')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Dover Athletic
1-1
Ebbsfleet
De Havilland (53')
L'Ghoul (26'), Reason (63'), Rigg (74')
Obileye (13')
Sutherland (53'), King (63')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
gameweek 54
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Dover Athletic

Kedwell (62'), Rance (87')
Pavey (51')
Pavey (71'), Lewis (85'), Effiong (92')