National League South
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 37'

Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Eastbourne 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 1 - 2 Worthing
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 46.24% (-0.34)
Draw 25.28% (-0.02)
Ebbsfleet 28.48% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.54% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 49.46% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 28.5% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 71.49% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 13.65% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 86.35% (-0.16)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 78.6% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.4% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 54.39% (+0.08)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 68.47% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 31.53% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 32.08% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 67.92% (-0.45)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 46.23%
Draw 25.27%
Ebbsfleet 28.48%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.48%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • goal Greg Cundle 52'
National League South Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Rakish Bingham 27' goal
  • Luke O'Neill 89' goal
National League South Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sido Jombarti 50' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 55' goal
  • goal Charlie Sheringham 72'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 42
May 28, 2021 11.00pm