National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Ebbsfleet United

vs.

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, December 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 28.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawEbbsfleet
46.57% (0.741 0.74)25.29% (-0.1 -0.1)28.14% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (0.052999999999997 0.05)49.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.72% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.355 0.36)21.35% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.547 0.55)54.32% (-0.55 -0.55)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)31.91% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.519 -0.52)68.36% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 46.57%
    Ebbsfleet 28.14%
    Draw 25.28%
Chelmsford CityDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.14%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Aug 30, 2021 3pm