National League South

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
0-1
Ebbsfleet

FT(HT: 0-1)

Samuel (37')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

National League South

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Next Game: Enfield Town vs. Chelmsford City
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Next Game: Ebbsfleet vs. Tonbridge Angels
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
46.24% ( -0.33)	25.28% ( -0.01)	28.48% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54% (

0.25)

49.46% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5% (

0.23)

71.49% (

-0.22)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

-0.04)

21.4% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.6% (

-0.07)

54.39% (

0.07)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47% (

0.39)

31.53% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08% (

0.44)

67.92% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 46.23%

Ebbsfleet 28.48%

Draw 25.27%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.48%