Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2025 at 1pm UK
 

Ebbsfleet
vs.
Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.98%).

Result
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
44.17% (0.085000000000001 0.09)25.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01)30.55% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)48.44% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)70.57% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)55.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.111 -0.11)29.53% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (-0.134 -0.13)65.55% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 44.17%
    Tonbridge Angels 30.55%
    Draw 25.28%
EbbsfleetDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.55%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
Club Friendlies 3
Tonbridge Angels
0-3
Ebbsfleet
Thomas (9' pen., 45'), Edser (14')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
gameweek 38
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Wagstaff (85')
Wright (42')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Ebbsfleet
1-2
Tonbridge Angels
Monlouis (47')
Swift (10'), Miles (62')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 39
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Ebbsfleet
Coulthirst (7')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Ebbsfleet
5-1
Tonbridge Angels
Poleon (7', 27', 29'), Bingham (14'), Mekki (80')
Olutade (73')