National League South

Dec 26, 2025 at 1pm UK

Ebbsfleet
1-0
Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels

Chapman (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Next Game: Dover Athletic vs. Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Next Game: Tonbridge Angels vs. Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
44.22% ( 0.05)	25.26% ( -0.02)	30.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

0.07)

48.36% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.49% (

0.07)

70.5% (

-0.07)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

0.05)

21.85% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.91% (

0.08)

55.09% (

-0.09)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.01)

29.52% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47% (

0.02)

65.53% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 44.22%

Tonbridge Angels 30.51%

Draw 25.26%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.51%