National League South Gameweek 26
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Toby Edser 3' goal
  • Joshua Passley 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Chapman 56' goal
  • Maxx Manktelow 67' yellowcard
  • Josh Coley 78' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Remaye Campbell 29'
  • yellowcard Isiah Noel-Williams 51'
  • yellowcard Finley Wilkinson 66'
  • yellowcard George Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Trae Cook-Appiah 77'
  • yellowcard Aston Ellard 82'
  • goal Isiah Noel Williams 84'
  • goal Isiah Noel-Williams 84'
  • goal Aston Ellard 90'+6'
  • goal Ellard 90'+7'

Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 3 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 2 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Ebbsfleet 46.68% (+2.80)
Draw 27.39% (-0.22)
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.99% (-2.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.79% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.51% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 31.49% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 43.44% (+1.44)
Under 2.5 56.56% (-1.44)
Over 3.5 22.61% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 77.39% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 12.05% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 87.95% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 35.18% (+1.25)
Draw 43.36% (+0.30)
Hemel Hempstead Town 21.46% (-1.54)

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 50.61% (+0.77)
No Goal 9.86% (-0.23)
Hemel Hempstead Town 39.53% (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% (-1.14)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.25)
Under 8 31.25% (+0.90)
Over 9 45.02% (-1.29)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.16)
Under 9 43.03% (+1.14)
Over 10.5 33.95% (-1.33)
Under 10.5 66.05% (+1.33)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 40.55% (+2.84)
Under 1.5 59.45% (-2.84)
Over 2.5 16.63% (+2.18)
Under 2.5 83.37% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 5.88% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 94.12% (-0.83)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.01% (-1.25)
Under 0.5 40.99% (+1.25)
Over 1.5 24.3% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 75.7% (+1.36)
Over 2.5 7.41% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 92.59% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 46.68%
Draw 27.39%
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.97%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.56)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.02% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 4% (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.29)
Other @ 5.86% (+0.83)
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 27.39%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.70)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.45)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.39)
Other @ 1.94% (-0.23)
Total : 25.97%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
National League South Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Harris O'Connor 73' goal
  • goal Jack Paxman 28'
National League South Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlee Hughes 78' goal
  • goal Craig Tanner 8'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 53'
  • goal Craig Tanner 58'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 40' goal
  • Adam Mekki 55' goal
  • Joe Martin 76' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 67'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm