National League South Gameweek 26
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 0 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 0 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Millar Matthews-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town has a probability of 28.51% and a draw has a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win is 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.59%).

Result

Ebbsfleet 43.88%
Draw 27.61% (+0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 42% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 21.49%
Under 3.5 78.51%
Over 4.5 11.24%
Under 4.5 88.76%

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 33.94%
Draw 43.06% (-0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town 23% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 49.84%
No Goal 10.08% (+0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town 40.08% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.1%
Equal 8 11.54%
Under 8 30.36% (-0.02)
Over 9 46.31%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 41.9%
Over 10.5 35.28% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.72% (-0.02)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 37.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.29% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.45% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.95% (-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.26% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.74% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.66%
Under 1.5 74.34%
Over 2.5 8.32% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.68% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.17%
Under 3.5 97.83%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 43.9%
Draw 27.63%
Hemel Hempstead Town 28.5%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 12.85% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.04% (+0.01)
Total : 43.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.08% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.63%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.5%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
National League South Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Harris O'Connor 73' goal
  • goal Jack Paxman 28'
National League South Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlee Hughes 78' goal
  • goal Craig Tanner 8'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 53'
  • goal Craig Tanner 58'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 40' goal
  • Adam Mekki 55' goal
  • Joe Martin 76' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 67'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm