Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.