National League South Gameweek 26
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Toby Edser 3' goal
  • Joshua Passley 46' yellowcard
  • Ben Chapman 56' goal
  • Maxx Manktelow 67' yellowcard
  • Josh Coley 78' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Remaye Campbell 29'
  • yellowcard Isiah Noel-Williams 51'
  • yellowcard Finley Wilkinson 66'
  • yellowcard George Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Trae Cook-Appiah 77'
  • yellowcard Aston Ellard 82'
  • goal Isiah Noel Williams 84'
  • goal Isiah Noel-Williams 84'
  • goal Aston Ellard 90'+6'
  • goal Ellard 90'+7'

Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 3 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 2 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mauro Vilhete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.39% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Ebbsfleet 46.68% (+2.80)
Draw 27.39% (-0.22)
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.99% (-2.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.79% (+0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.51% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 31.49% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 43.44% (+1.44)
Under 2.5 56.56% (-1.44)
Over 3.5 22.61% (+1.13)
Under 3.5 77.39% (-1.13)
Over 4.5 12.05% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 87.95% (-0.82)

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 35.18% (+1.25)
Draw 43.36% (+0.30)
Hemel Hempstead Town 21.46% (-1.54)

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 50.61% (+0.77)
No Goal 9.86% (-0.23)
Hemel Hempstead Town 39.53% (-0.55)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% (-1.14)
Equal 8 11.79% (+0.25)
Under 8 31.25% (+0.90)
Over 9 45.02% (-1.29)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.16)
Under 9 43.03% (+1.14)
Over 10.5 33.95% (-1.33)
Under 10.5 66.05% (+1.33)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 40.55% (+2.84)
Under 1.5 59.45% (-2.84)
Over 2.5 16.63% (+2.18)
Under 2.5 83.37% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 5.88% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 94.12% (-0.83)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.01% (-1.25)
Under 0.5 40.99% (+1.25)
Over 1.5 24.3% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 75.7% (+1.36)
Over 2.5 7.41% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 92.59% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 1.96% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.04% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 46.68%
Draw 27.39%
Hemel Hempstead Town 25.97%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.56)
2-0 @ 8.52% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.02% (+0.49)
3-1 @ 4% (+0.46)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.29)
Other @ 5.86% (+0.83)
Total : 46.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 27.39%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.70)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.45)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.39)
Other @ 1.94% (-0.23)
Total : 25.97%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
National League South Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Harris O'Connor 73' goal
  • goal Jack Paxman 28'
National League South Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charlee Hughes 78' goal
  • goal Craig Tanner 8'
  • goal Dominic Poleon 53'
  • goal Craig Tanner 58'
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 40' goal
  • Adam Mekki 55' goal
  • Joe Martin 76' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 67'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm