National League South
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Jephte Tanga 13' goal
  • Deon Moore 21' goal
  • John Gilbert 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Passley 68' goal
  • Joshua Passley 69' goal
  • Hamzad Kargbo 76' yellowcard
  • A. Papadopoulos 76' yellowcard
  • David Agbontohoma 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Coley 46'
  • yellowcard Ronny Nelson 46'
  • yellowcard Toby Edser 62'
  • yellowcard Finlay Barnes 70'

Maidstone United vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Maidstone 0 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Deon Moore

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 1 - 0 Dag & Red
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Maidstone United 47.38% (+1.36)
Draw 26.28% (-0.53)
Ebbsfleet 26.38% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.93% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.7% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 31.3% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 42.92% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 57.08% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 21.77% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 78.23% (-0.43)
Over 4.5 11.47% (+0.34)
Under 4.5 88.53% (-0.35)

First Half Winner

Maidstone United 37.33% (+1.36)
Draw 40.68% (+0.26)
Ebbsfleet 22% (-1.61)

Team To Score First

Maidstone United 51.79% (+1.57)
No Goal 9.2% (-0.16)
Ebbsfleet 39.01% (-1.42)

Corners

Over 8 53.21% (+0.60)
Equal 8 11.82% (-0.15)
Under 8 34.96% (-0.47)
Over 9 41.59% (+0.69)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.09)
Under 9 46.79% (-0.60)
Over 10.5 31.09% (+0.70)
Under 10.5 68.91% (-0.71)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 1.5 40.54% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 59.46% (-1.04)
Over 2.5 16.54% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 83.46% (-0.71)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.34)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 59.43% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 40.57% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 24.17% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 75.83% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 7.09% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 92.91% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 1.83% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.17% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Maidstone United 47.39%
Draw 26.29%
Ebbsfleet 26.39%
Maidstone United
1-0 @ 12.94% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 4.16% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.34% (+0.34)
Total : 47.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.33)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.29%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.21)
Other @ 1.82% (-0.10)
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Aaron Blair 6' goal
  • Antony Papadopoulos 32' goal
  • Aaron Blair 53' goal
National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joan Luque 3' goal
  • George Fowler 66' goal
  • Sam Corne 69' goal
  • Sam Corne 75' goal
National League South Gameweek 9
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 10' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 17' goal
  • goal Joan Luque 14'
  • goal Sam Corne 20'
  • goal Sam Corne 65'
National League South Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
National League South Gameweek 9
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT