Maidenhead United
National League South | Gameweek 15
Jan 6, 2026 at 7.45pm UK
 
Ebbsfleet United

vs.

Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidenhead United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Slough
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Next Game: Horsham vs. Maidenhead
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in National League South
Next Game: Bath City vs. Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 29.87% and a draw has a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win is 0-1 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
44.1% (-4.389 -4.39)26.04% (0.293 0.29)29.87% (4.104 4.1)
Both teams to score 52.26% (1.962 1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (1.19 1.19)51.88% (-1.184 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (1.022 1.02)73.63% (-1.015 -1.02)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-1.514 -1.51)23.42% (1.521 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-2.252 -2.25)57.41% (2.26 2.26)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (3.84 3.84)31.77% (-3.833 -3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (4.179 4.18)68.19% (-4.173 -4.17)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 44.09%
    Ebbsfleet 29.87%
    Draw 26.03%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.79% (-1.04 -1.04)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-1.153 -1.15)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.759 -0.76)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.352 -0.35)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.357 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.479 0.48)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.786 0.79)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.733 0.73)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.54 0.54)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.319 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.439 0.44)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2025 3pm
gameweek 45
Ebbsfleet
0-2
Maidenhead
McCoulsky (50'), Kiernan (59')
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Maidenhead
2-1
Ebbsfleet
Abrahams (40'), McCoulsky (56' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (88'), Ross (90+3'), Barratt (90+6')
Wright (90+2')
Tanner (47'), Olagunju (69'), Dallison (83')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 30
Maidenhead
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Massey (43'), Asare (90+3')
Samuel (82')
Tanner (33'), Skura (50')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Maidenhead
Poleon (60')
Smith (66')
Golding (17'), De Havilland (45+3'), Beckwith (88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 42
Maidenhead
1-3
Ebbsfleet
Mundle-Smith (9')
Kelly (43'), Whitehall (57'), (58')
Umerah (17'), Ugwu (30', 31')
McGlashan (85')