National League South Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT York Road
Ebbsfleet
  • L. Dulson 90'+1' goal
  • Matt Robinson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Coley 33'
  • goal Toby Edser 64'
  • yellowcard Kwesi Appiah 77'

Maidenhead United vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Eastbourne 0 - 1 Maidenhead
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
Dorking 3 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Maidenhead United 49.72% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 24.76% ▼ (-0.52)
Ebbsfleet 25.52% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04% ▲ (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.85% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 1.5 23.15% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 2.5 53.42% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 2.5 46.58% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 3.5 30.43% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 3.5 69.57% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 4.5 17.44% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 4.5 82.56% ▼ (-1.15)

First Half Winner

Maidenhead United 36.94% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 39.41% ▼ (-0.33)
Ebbsfleet 23.65% ▲ (+0.62)

Team To Score First

Maidenhead United 55.53% ▼ (-0.43)
No Goal 6.32% ▼ (-0.23)
Ebbsfleet 38.15% ▲ (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 58.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.53% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 8 29.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 47% ▲ (+0.26)
Equal 9 11.85% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 9 41.14% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 35.85% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 10.5 64.15% ▼ (-0.37)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 1.5 48.14% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 1.5 51.86% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 2.5 22.71% ▲ (+1.24)
Under 2.5 77.29% ▼ (-1.23)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▼ (-0.77)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 62.19% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 0.5 37.81% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 1.5 28.75% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 9.91% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 90.09% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 2.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 97.11% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Maidenhead United 49.72%
Draw 24.76%
Ebbsfleet 25.52%
Maidenhead United
1-0 @ 10.23% ▼ (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.99% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.73)
Total : 49.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.42)
0-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 24.76%
Ebbsfleet
0-1 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.36)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 25.52%

Head to Head

National League South
Ebbsfleet
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
Maidenhead
  • Finlay Barnes 63' yellowcard
  • Ronny Nelson 71' goal
  • Dominic Samuel 76' goal
  • Maxx Manktelow 81' yellowcard
  • Aaron Cosgrave 86' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kwesi Appiah 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Pritchard 73'
  • yellowcard Sam Barratt 82'
National League Gameweek 45
Ebbsfleet
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road
Maidenhead
  • goal Shawn McCoulsky 50'
  • goal Brendan Kiernan 59'
National League Gameweek 11
Maidenhead
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT York Road
Ebbsfleet
  • Tristan Abrahams 40' goal
  • Shawn McCoulsky 56' goal
  • Miles Welch-Hayes 88' yellowcard
  • Craig Ross 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sam Barratt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 47'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Olagunju 69'
  • yellowcard Tom Dallison 83'
  • goal Josh Wright 90'+2'
National League Gameweek 30
Maidenhead
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT York Road Stadium
Ebbsfleet
  • Alan Massey 43' yellowcard
  • Zico Asare 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Tanner 33'
  • yellowcard Declan Skura 50'
  • goal Dominic Samuel 82'
National League Gameweek 21
Ebbsfleet
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stonebridge Road
Maidenhead
  • Dominic Poleon 60' goal
  • yellowcard James Golding 17'
  • goal 18'
  • yellowcard Will De Havilland 45'+3'
  • goal Reece Smith 66'
  • yellowcard Sam Beckwith 88'
National League Gameweek 42
Maidenhead
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT York Road
Ebbsfleet
  • Jaydn Mundle-Smith 9' goal
  • Josh Kelly 43' yellowcard
  • Danny Whitehall 57' yellowcard
  • 58' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Umerah 17'
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 30'
  • goal Gozie Ugwu 31'
  • yellowcard Jermaine McGlashan 85'

Form Data

Eastbourne 0 - 1 Maidenhead
Worthing 0 - 0 Maidenhead
Maidenhead 2 - 1 Maidstone
Maidenhead 2 - 0 AFC Totton
Chippenham 1 - 0 Maidenhead
Maidenhead 2 - 1 Salisbury
Dorking 3 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Eastbourne 1 - 3 Ebbsfleet
Ebbsfleet 3 - 0 Torquay Utd
Ebbsfleet 2 - 2 Farnborough
Horsham 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Chesham 4 - 1 Ebbsfleet