Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.62% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%) , while for a Salisbury win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.