National League South
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Lyle Taylor 1' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal 4' (OG)
  • goal Ollie Morgan 4'
  • goal Noah Coppin 47'

Chelmsford City vs Salisbury - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 7.45pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Maidstone
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Salisbury 1 - 0 Chippenham
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Noah Coppin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.58% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Salisbury win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 53.32% (-0.01)
Draw 25.58% (+0.01)
Salisbury 21.1% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.38% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 46.49%
Under 2.5 53.51%
Over 3.5 25.56%
Under 3.5 74.44%
Over 4.5 14.57% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.43% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 36.61%
Draw 43.44%
Salisbury 19.95%

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 56.26% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.94% (-0.01)
Salisbury 34.8%

Corners

Over 8 57.57%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 30.63%
Over 9 45.55%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 42.43%
Over 10.5 34.35%
Under 10.5 65.64%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 47.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.78% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.81%
Under 2.5 78.19%
Over 3.5 8.32%
Under 3.5 91.68%

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5 54.48% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 45.52% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 21.9% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 6.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.74% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.45% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 53.32%
Draw 25.58%
Salisbury 21.09%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.19%
Total : 53.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.58%
Salisbury
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Total : 21.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • Finn Tonks 18' redcard
  • Karlos Gregory 90' goal
  • goal Kane Crichlow 4'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 43'
  • goal Joe Rye 64'
National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Osman Foyo 8' goal
  • Archie Tamplin 20' yellowcard
  • Samuel Oguntayo 38' yellowcard
  • Alfie Bendle 61' yellowcard
  • Paul Appiah 90'+4' goal
  • goal Jordan Thomas 27'
  • yellowcard Canice Carroll 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Wilkinson 37'
  • yellowcard Sido Jombarti 67'