National League South
Gameweek
28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Horsham vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Horsham has a probability of 35.61% and a draw has a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Horsham win is 1-0 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.62%).
Result
Horsham
35.61%
▼
(-0.83)
Draw
27.35%
▲
(+0.15)
Chelmsford City
37.05%
▲
(+0.69)
Both Teams to Score:
53.22%
▼
(-0.58)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.57%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 1.5
27.43%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 2.5
48.16%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 2.5
51.84%
▲
(+1.09)
Over 3.5
26.35%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 3.5
73.65%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 4.5
14.02%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 4.5
85.98%
▲
(+0.71)
First Half Winner
Horsham
30.61%
▼
(-0.36)
Draw
39.39%
▲
(+0.08)
Chelmsford City
30%
▲
(+0.29)
Team To Score First
Horsham
44.6%
▼
(-0.51)
No Goal
7.92%
▲
(+0.13)
Chelmsford City
47.48%
▲
(+0.38)
Corners
Over 8
58.68%
▲
(+1.14)
Equal 8
11.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
30.16%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 9
47.24%
▲
(+1.07)
Equal 9
11.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 9
41.32%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 10.5
36.45%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 10.5
63.55%
▼
(-0.91)
Horsham Goals
Over 1.5
34.72%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 1.5
65.28%
▲
(+1.43)
Over 2.5
13.06%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 2.5
86.94%
▲
(+1.04)
Over 3.5
4.02%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
95.98%
▲
(+0.24)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5
70.03%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
29.97%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
36.56%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
63.44%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.19%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
85.81%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
4.62%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
95.38%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Horsham
35.6%
Draw
27.35%
Chelmsford City
37.05%
Horsham
1-0
@
9.97%
▲
(+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 35.6%
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.62%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.35%
0-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 27.35%
Chelmsford City
0-1
@
9.54%
▲
(+0.42)
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 37.05%
1-2 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 37.05%
Head to Head
National League South