National League South

Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK

Horsham
1-2
Chesham Chesham United

Aguiar (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliyide (74'), Lench (63')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Horsham and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Horsham

All competitions

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Horsham
Tuesday, January 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Next Game: Dorking vs. Horsham
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Horsham 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League South

Next Game: Chesham vs. Hemel Hemps.
Friday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Horsham	Draw	Chesham United
44.94% ( 0.41)	25.78% ( -0.23)	29.28% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

0.87)

51.11% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

0.76)

72.96% (

-0.76)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.57)

22.69% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.66% (

0.83)

56.34% (

-0.83)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.21% (

0.33)

31.8% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

0.37)

68.23% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Horsham 44.94%

Chesham United 29.28%

Draw 25.78%

Horsham	Draw	Chesham United
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.28%