Segunda Division
Dec 21, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
 

1-3

Marchal Garcia (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zalazar (43'), Abdoul Kone (50'), Diez (70' pen.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Sociedad B and Ceuta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad B 1-3 Ceuta
Sunday, December 21 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Sociedad B 1-3 Ceuta
Sunday, December 21 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 0-1 (9.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad BDrawCeuta
40.79% (0.104 0.1)27.08% (0.074000000000002 0.07)32.14% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 50.01% (-0.277 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.79% (-0.327 -0.33)55.21% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (-0.27 -0.27)76.45% (0.274 0.27)
Real Sociedad B Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)26.6% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.129 -0.13)61.83% (0.134 0.13)
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)31.87% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.33 -0.33)68.31% (0.33399999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad B 40.78%
    Ceuta 32.14%
    Draw 27.07%
Real Sociedad BDrawCeuta
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.14%