Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Las Palmas

CeutaCeuta
1-1
Las PalmasLas Palmas

Matos (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clemente (52')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ceuta and Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Last Game: Ceuta 1-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, December 14 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Real Sociedad B vs. Ceuta
Sunday, December 21 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Las Palmas

All competitions
Last Game: Ceuta 1-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, December 14 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Las Palmas vs. Leonesa
Saturday, December 20 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceuta win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.91% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceuta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%) , while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
CeutaDrawLas Palmas
50.36%26.91%22.73%
Both teams to score 44.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.44%59.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.1%79.9%
Ceuta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97%42.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54%78.46%
Score Analysis
    Ceuta 50.36%
    Las Palmas 22.73%
    Draw 26.89%
CeutaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 14.36%
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 10%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 8.68%
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.73%